Vegetation trajectory analysis
Red Falls
Intervention required
Compliance timeline
Report:08 Sep 2026
Start:09 Jan 2020
Target:31 Dec 2035
Target vegetation vigour
0.580
NDVI
Target vegetation moisture
0.200
NDMI
Target source
Woodland
Scenes used
318
2020–2026
Current metrics
Vegetation vigour (NDVI)
Condition of site
Area in target range (04 Jun 2026 to 04 Sep 2026)
3.7%
3.2% less than the same period last year
Below target but on a positive trajectory
The Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) measures how much living vegetation the satellite can detect. Currently, 3.7% of the site meets the target of 0.580 (down from 6.9% at the same time last year). An improving signal is detected across 13.8% of pixels. The long-term site-average trend is increasing at 0.0080/year, with target projected in 86.7 years.
Vegetation moisture (NDMI)
Condition of site
Area in target range (04 Jun 2026 to 04 Sep 2026)
0.0%
0.8% less than the same period last year
Vegetation canopy moisture is below target with no improvement detected
The Normalised Difference Moisture Index (NDMI) measures the level of water held in the vegetation canopy. Currently, 0.0% of the site meets the target of 0.200 (down from 0.8% at the same time last year). Mapped pixels show no meaningful improvement signal in the current observation period. A declining signal is present in 12.7% of pixels. No positive trajectory is visible in the current observation window.
Summary map and table
| Name ▲ | Area (ha) | % Improving | % Stable | % Declining | % Mixed | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zone 1 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 87.7% | 0.0% | 12.3% | 18 |
| Zone 2 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 15 |
| Zone 3 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 81.2% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 16 |
| Zone 4 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 66.1% | 0.0% | 33.9% | 13 |
| Zone 5 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 79.7% | 0.0% | 20.3% | 16 |
| Zone 6 | 0.63 | 0.0% | 67.2% | 0.0% | 32.8% | 13 |
Vegetation trajectory vs target
Vegetation vigour (NDVI)
Vegetation moisture (NDMI)
Note: These targets represent typical mature vegetation for this land-use classification. Actual achievement may vary based on local soil, climate, and hydrology. On-site assessment is recommended to confirm applicability.
Rehabilitation pathway comparison
NDVI closure timeline
Based on long-term trend (0.0080/year), your site will reach the vegetation vigour target (0.580) in approximately 86.7 years.
NDMI closure timeline
Your NDMI is declining at 0.0031/year and moving away from the moisture target (0.200). At the long-term trend, this criterion will not be reached. Intervention may be required to stabilise or improve moisture conditions.
Expected closure readiness
Vegetation is improving toward target in approximately 86.7 years, but moisture is declining. Closure readiness cannot be reliably projected. Water management intervention may be required.
Spatial patterns
Vegetation vigour target attainment (04 Jun 2026 to 04 Sep 2026)
Vegetation moisture target attainment (04 Jun 2026 to 04 Sep 2026)
Vegetation vigour trend
Vegetation moisture trend
Top priority sites
1
Priority
Mean NDVI
0.1448
NDVI trend rate/yr
0.01103/yr
NDVI gap
0.4352
Mean NDMI
-0.2778
NDMI trend rate/yr
-0.01509/yr
NDMI gap
0.4778
Area
0.4 ha
19.92168°S, 145.74926°E
2
Priority
Mean NDVI
0.392
NDVI trend rate/yr
0.00707/yr
NDVI gap
0.188
Mean NDMI
-0.1109
NDMI trend rate/yr
-0.00472/yr
NDMI gap
0.3109
Area
0.31 ha
19.92072°S, 145.74905°E
Scope note
This analysis is based on the European Space Agency's Sentinel-2 satellite-measured vegetation indices (NDVI and NDMI) from 318 observations across 2020–2026. These indices provide a quantitative measure of vegetation vigour and moisture availability, but cannot diagnose the causes of observed changes, predict the effects of specific interventions, or document species-specific plant community types.
Early stage rehabilitation can be dominated by grasses and weedy species. A high NDVI reading does not confirm target species are establishing, and a declining reading may reflect a natural transition to slower-growing vegetation.
For recommendations on site management, hydrology, or ecological rehabilitation, please consult with qualified site specialists and ecologists.
Early stage rehabilitation can be dominated by grasses and weedy species. A high NDVI reading does not confirm target species are establishing, and a declining reading may reflect a natural transition to slower-growing vegetation.
For recommendations on site management, hydrology, or ecological rehabilitation, please consult with qualified site specialists and ecologists.